Unsupervised Domain Adaptation for Constraining Star Formation Histories
Sankalp Gilda, Antoine de Mathelin, Sabine Bellstedt, Guillaume Richard
TL;DR
Deriving the past star-formation history ($SFH$) of galaxies from present-day observations is hindered by domain shift between simulated and real spectra. The authors propose an unsupervised domain adaptation pipeline using KLIEP reweighting, with $SFH$ reduced via Kernel-PCA to $SFH_{kPCA}$ and a deep neural network trained on log-scaled SED features to predict $SFH_{norm}$ (and $SFH_{sum}$). Across three cross-domain experiments among SIMBA, Eagle, and IllustrisTNG, the approach improves predictions of both individual and global ($\Sigma$SFH) histories, as measured by multiple metrics (e.g., $RMSE$, $MAE$, $DTW$, $TDI$). While global trends are captured more reliably, the authors note persistent challenges in recovering highly stochastic SFH fluctuations and highlight smoothing as a practical step toward robust observational inferences, with future work on multi-source domain adaptation and physics-diverse simulations.
Abstract
The prevalent paradigm of machine learning today is to use past observations to predict future ones. What if, however, we are interested in knowing the past given the present? This situation is indeed one that astronomers must contend with often. To understand the formation of our universe, we must derive the time evolution of the visible mass content of galaxies. However, to observe a complete star life, one would need to wait for one billion years! To overcome this difficulty, astrophysicists leverage supercomputers and evolve simulated models of galaxies till the current age of the universe, thus establishing a mapping between observed radiation and star formation histories (SFHs). Such ground-truth SFHs are lacking for actual galaxy observations, where they are usually inferred -- with often poor confidence -- from spectral energy distributions (SEDs) using Bayesian fitting methods. In this investigation, we discuss the ability of unsupervised domain adaptation to derive accurate SFHs for galaxies with simulated data as a necessary first step in developing a technique that can ultimately be applied to observational data.
