Graph convolutional network for predicting abnormal grain growth in Monte Carlo simulations of microstructural evolution
Ryan Cohn, Elizabeth Holm
TL;DR
This work tackles predicting abnormal grain growth (AGG) from the initial microstructure using two approaches: a computer-vision pipeline and a graph-based Simple Graph Convolution (SGC) on a grain-graph representation. A large Monte Carlo Potts dataset (27,588 simulations, $512\times512$ grids, $CGR$ threshold of 10) enables a direct comparison, with SGC achieving about 73% test accuracy—outperforming the CV baseline (~69–70%) and showing less overfitting. Feature analysis indicates grain type and local connectivity near the candidate grain carry the predictive signal, reflecting the physical mechanism of AGG, where high-mobility boundaries propagate growth through the grain network. The study also reveals substantial intrinsic uncertainty due to stochasticity in the simulations, suggesting that future work should emphasize predictive distributions and robustness through repeated sampling and richer feature sets.
Abstract
Recent developments in graph neural networks show promise for predicting the occurrence of abnormal grain growth, which has been a particularly challenging area of research due to its apparent stochastic nature. In this study, we generate a large dataset of Monte Carlo simulations of abnormal grain growth. We train simple graph convolution networks to predict which initial microstructures will exhibit abnormal grain growth, and compare the results to a standard computer vision approach for the same task. The graph neural network outperformed the computer vision method and achieved 73% prediction accuracy and fewer false positives. It also provided some physical insight into feature importance and the relevant length scale required to maximize predictive performance. Analysis of the uncertainty in the Monte Carlo simulations provides additional insights for ongoing work in this area.
