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Sample-path large deviations for a class of heavy-tailed Markov additive processes

Bohan Chen, Chang-Han Rhee, Bert Zwart

Abstract

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case where Kesten's condition holds on $A_1$, leading to heavy-tailed distributions. The most likely paths in our large deviations results are step functions with both positive and negative jumps.

Sample-path large deviations for a class of heavy-tailed Markov additive processes

Abstract

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion , we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the topology on . We allow to have both signs and focus on the case where Kesten's condition holds on , leading to heavy-tailed distributions. The most likely paths in our large deviations results are step functions with both positive and negative jumps.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 14 sections, 28 theorems, 246 equations.

Key Result

Proposition 2.5

Assume that one of the following conditions hold. Then, for any $x_0 \in \mathds{R}$, there exists $\epsilon = \epsilon(x_0)$, $\theta>0$, and an open interval $E_0$ such that

Theorems & Definitions (60)

  • Remark 2.2
  • Proposition 2.5
  • Lemma 2.6
  • Remark 2.8
  • Lemma 2.9
  • Definition 2.11
  • Remark 2.12
  • Lemma 2.13
  • Theorem 3.1
  • Theorem 3.2
  • ...and 50 more