Theoretical uncertainties for cosmological first-order phase transitions
Djuna Croon, Oliver Gould, Philipp Schicho, Tuomas V. I. Tenkanen, Graham White
TL;DR
This work systematically compares perturbative approaches to cosmological first-order phase transitions within the SMEFT, focusing on gravitational-wave predictions. It shows that conventional 4d daisy-resummed calculations suffer large renormalisation-scale uncertainties and gauge-dependence, leading to order-of-magnitude ambiguities in the predicted peak GW amplitude. By employing dimensional reduction to a 3d effective theory, the authors achieve markedly reduced scale dependence and obtain gauge-invariant results through an explicit ħ-expansion, while enabling controlled higher-loop and nucleation analyses. The study also assesses high-temperature truncations, nonperturbativity, and nucleation corrections, concluding that the 3d DR method provides a more reliable and systematically improvable framework for GW phenomenology, with important implications for LISA and beyond. Overall, the work advocates using dimensionally-reduced perturbation theory as the standard tool for predicting SGWB signals from SMEFT-type first-order phase transitions.
Abstract
We critically examine the magnitude of theoretical uncertainties in perturbative calculations of first-order phase transitions, using the Standard Model effective field theory as our guide. In the usual daisy-resummed approach, we find large uncertainties due to renormalisation scale dependence, which amount to two to three orders-of-magnitude uncertainty in the peak gravitational wave amplitude, relevant to experiments such as LISA. Alternatively, utilising dimensional reduction in a more sophisticated perturbative approach drastically reduces this scale dependence, pushing it to higher orders. Further, this approach resolves other thorny problems with daisy resummation: it is gauge invariant which is explicitly demonstrated for the Standard Model, and avoids an uncontrolled derivative expansion in the bubble nucleation rate.
