Limit Profiles for Reversible Markov Chains
Evita Nestoridi, Sam Olesker-Taylor
TL;DR
The paper develops TV-approximation lemmas that decompose the distance to equilibrium into a main term and a vanishing error term, enabling explicit limit-profile analysis for reversible Markov chains and Markov processes on homogeneous spaces. It extends Teyssier’s limit-profile framework from conjugacy-invariant walks on groups to general reversible chains and to spaces $X=G/K$ via spherical Fourier analysis and Gelfand-pair theory. The authors apply these tools to three key problems: the random $k$-cycle shuffle on $\mathcal{S}_n$, the Ehrenfest urn diffusion with many urns, and Gibbs samplers with Binomial priors, deriving precise TV limit profiles and refining previous cutoff results. The work leverages spectral decompositions, character ratio bounds (via long first-row partitions), and Krawtchouk-type orthogonality to obtain Poisson- and Gaussian-type limit laws within the cutoff window, with corroborating appendices on hypercube walks and binomial-TV distances. Together, these contributions provide a broad, principled method for obtaining detailed convergence profiles in a range of structured Markov chains and homogeneous-space settings, with potential impact on mixing-time analysis and probabilistic modeling in statistics and statistical physics.
Abstract
In a recent breakthrough, Teyssier [Tey20] introduced a new method for approximating the distance from equilibrium of a random walk on a group. He used it to study the limit profile for the random transpositions card shuffle. His techniques were restricted to conjugacy-invariant random walks on groups; we derive similar approximation lemmas for random walks on homogeneous spaces and for general reversible Markov chains. We illustrate applications of these lemmas to some famous problems: the $k$-cycle shuffle, improving results of Hough [Hou16] and Berestycki, Schramm and Zeitouni [BSZ11]; the Ehrenfest urn diffusion with many urns, improving results of Ceccherini-Silberstein, Scarabotti and Tolli [CST07]; a Gibbs sampler, which is a fundamental tool in statistical physics, with Binomial prior and hypergeometric posterior, improving results of Diaconis, Khare and Saloff-Coste [DKS08].
