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LSTM-based Flow Prediction

Hongzhi Wang, Yang Song, Shihan Tang

TL;DR

This work tackles industrial flow prediction from high-dimensional time series by introducing an LSTM framework enhanced with periodicity awareness and multivariate tuning. The approach decomposes into a data-conversion module that reduces dimensionality and constructs supervised sequences, an LSTM modeling module for sequence forecasting, and a tuning module that leverages cycle detection to iteratively refine predictions. The method demonstrates substantial accuracy gains on a real-world industrial boiler dataset, achieving a RMSE improvement of 54.05% over a vanilla LSTM and outpacing RF, BP, and CNN baselines. By explicitly exploiting periodic patterns and cross-variable dependencies, the approach offers a practical, scalable solution for predictive maintenance and production optimization in industry.

Abstract

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the time series data into supervised learning sequences regarding industrial data's features. The main innovation of this paper consists in introducing the concepts of periodic measurement and time window in the industrial prediction problem, especially considering industrial data with time series characteristics. Experiments using real-world datasets show that the prediction accuracy is improved, 54.05% higher than that of traditional LSTM algorithm.

LSTM-based Flow Prediction

TL;DR

This work tackles industrial flow prediction from high-dimensional time series by introducing an LSTM framework enhanced with periodicity awareness and multivariate tuning. The approach decomposes into a data-conversion module that reduces dimensionality and constructs supervised sequences, an LSTM modeling module for sequence forecasting, and a tuning module that leverages cycle detection to iteratively refine predictions. The method demonstrates substantial accuracy gains on a real-world industrial boiler dataset, achieving a RMSE improvement of 54.05% over a vanilla LSTM and outpacing RF, BP, and CNN baselines. By explicitly exploiting periodic patterns and cross-variable dependencies, the approach offers a practical, scalable solution for predictive maintenance and production optimization in industry.

Abstract

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the time series data into supervised learning sequences regarding industrial data's features. The main innovation of this paper consists in introducing the concepts of periodic measurement and time window in the industrial prediction problem, especially considering industrial data with time series characteristics. Experiments using real-world datasets show that the prediction accuracy is improved, 54.05% higher than that of traditional LSTM algorithm.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 21 sections, 5 equations, 6 figures, 7 tables, 3 algorithms.

Figures (6)

  • Figure 1: LSTM Neuron
  • Figure 2: LSTM based on multivariate tuning
  • Figure 3: Data Transforming
  • Figure 4: Single-Layer LSTM Network Structure
  • Figure 5: LSTM Based on Multivariate TuningFlow Chart
  • ...and 1 more figures