$H_0$ Tension, Swampland Conjectures and the Epoch of Fading Dark Matter
Prateek Agrawal, Georges Obied, Cumrun Vafa
TL;DR
This work tests a string-theory–motivated cosmology in which a rolling scalar field drives dark energy and, via the distance conjecture, couples to a dark-matter tower resulting in fading dark matter. The authors implement a two-exponential quintessence potential $V(\phi)= B\,e^{-b\phi}+ C\,e^{-c\phi}$ and a dark-matter mass $m(\phi)= m_0\,\exp(-\tilde{c}\phi)$ that becomes light after a transition at $\phi_0$, turning on late-time coupling around $z\sim 15$. Using Planck, BAO, Pantheon, and SH0ES data with CLASS and MontePython, they find a nonzero $\tilde{c}$ near $0.3$ (≈$2.8\sigma$) which improves the fit by about $2\sigma$ relative to $\Lambda$CDM, raising $H_0$ and partially alleviating the $S_8$ tension. The model also predicts a nontrivial evolution of $w_{DE}(z)$ and a long-range fifth force in the dark sector, with distinctive future cosmological and astrophysical signatures testable by upcoming experiments such as CMB polarization missions.
Abstract
Motivated by the swampland dS conjecture, we consider a rolling scalar field as the source of dark energy. Furthermore, the swampland distance conjecture suggests that the rolling field will lead at late times to an exponentially light tower of states. Identifying this tower as residing in the dark sector suggests a natural coupling of the scalar field to the dark matter, leading to a continually reducing dark matter mass as the scalar field rolls in the recent cosmological epoch. The exponent in the distance conjecture, $\tilde{c}$, is expected to be an $\mathcal{O}(1)$ number. Interestingly, when we include the local measurement of $H_0$, our model prefers a non-zero value of the coupling $\tilde{c}$ with a significance of $2.8σ$ and a best-fit at $\tilde{c} \sim 0.3$. Modifying the recent evolution of the universe in this way improves the fit to data at the $2σ$ level compared to $Λ$CDM. This string-inspired model automatically reduces cosmological tensions in the $H_0$ measurement as well as $σ_8$.
