On the Maximal Strength of a First-Order Electroweak Phase Transition and its Gravitational Wave Signal
John Ellis, Marek Lewicki, José Miguel No
TL;DR
The paper investigates how strong a first-order electroweak phase transition can be while still completing in the early universe, accounting for significant supercooling and the potential domination of vacuum energy on cosmic expansion. It develops a comprehensive framework for nucleation, growth, percolation, and reheating that remains valid when radiation no longer dominates, and applies it to polynomial BSM potentials to bound Tp and predict the gravitational-wave signal. The main findings are that percolation restricts extreme supercooling, the GW signal is dominated by plasma sound waves and turbulence with a peak frequency f ≳ 10^{-4} Hz, and that long-lasting sound waves are typically not realized, reducing the predicted GW amplitude relative to prior estimates. The results are illustrated in two concrete models (a |H|^6/Λ^2 EFT and a real singlet extension) and briefly discussed for conformal/dilaton-like potentials, highlighting implications for LISA detectability and collider probes.
Abstract
What is the maximum possible strength of a first-order electroweak phase transition and the resulting gravitational wave (GW) signal? While naively one might expect that supercooling could increase the strength of the transition to very high values, for strong supercooling the Universe is no longer radiation-dominated and the vacuum energy of the unstable minimum of the potential dominates the expansion, which can jeopardize the successful completion of the phase transition. After providing a general treatment for the nucleation, growth and percolation of broken phase bubbles during a first-order phase transition that encompasses the case of significant supercooling, we study the conditions for successful bubble percolation and completion of the electroweak phase transition in theories beyond the Standard Model featuring polynominal potentials. For such theories, these conditions set a lower bound on the temperature of the transition. Since the plasma cannot be significantly diluted, the resulting GW signal originates mostly from sound waves and turbulence in the plasma, rather than bubble collisions. We find the peak frequency of the GW signal from the phase transition to be generically $f \gtrsim 10^{-4}$ Hz. We also study the condition for GW production by sound waves to be long-lasting (GW source active for approximately a Hubble time), showing it is generally not fulfilled in concrete scenarios. Because of this the sound wave GW signal could be weakened, with turbulence setting in earlier, resulting in a smaller overall GW signal as compared to current literature predictions.
