The cosmological Higgstory of the vacuum instability
Jose R. Espinosa, Gian F. Giudice, Enrico Morgante, Antonio Riotto, Leonardo Senatore, Alessandro Strumia, Nikolaos Tetradis
TL;DR
This work analyzes the cosmological implications of the SM Higgs vacuum instability, addressing gauge dependence with Nielsen identities and employing a canonical Higgs field to study long-wavelength fluctuations during inflation. It shows that AdS patches where the Higgs sits in the true vacuum pose a lethal threat unless the inflationary Hubble scale is sufficiently small, yielding bounds that depend on the reheating temperature and on the Higgs coupling to gravity or to the inflaton. Post-inflation dynamics, including pre-heating and reheating, can rescue some patches via thermal corrections, but the fate of AdS bubbles after inflation imposes strong constraints; a full GR treatment of bubble evolution clarifies under which conditions expanding bubbles threaten cosmology. The paper also explores a speculative quantum-gravity link that translates into precise Higgs-top mass correlations, which surprisingly align with current measurements, suggesting a possible deep connection between electroweak metastability and the ultimate fate of de Sitter space.
Abstract
The Standard Model Higgs potential becomes unstable at large field values. After clarifying the issue of gauge dependence of the effective potential, we study the cosmological evolution of the Higgs field in presence of this instability throughout inflation, reheating and the present epoch. We conclude that anti-de Sitter patches in which the Higgs field lies at its true vacuum are lethal for our universe. From this result, we derive upper bounds on the Hubble constant during inflation, which depend on the reheating temperature and on the Higgs coupling to the scalar curvature or to the inflaton. Finally we study how a speculative link between Higgs meta-stability and consistence of quantum gravity leads to a sharp prediction for the Higgs and top masses, which is consistent with measured values.
