The Classical Universes of the No-Boundary Quantum State
James B. Hartle, S. W. Hawking, Thomas Hertog
TL;DR
The paper investigates how the no-boundary wave function (NBWF) of the universe selects a quasiclassical, inflationary cosmos within simple minisuperspace models containing a cosmological constant and a quadratic scalar potential. By applying a leading semiclassical (steepest descents) analysis, complex extremal geometries—fuzzy instantons—generate a conserved classical-history measure on a bounded region of phase space, with individual histories weighted by $e^{-2 I_R}$. Inflation emerges as a generic feature of histories that are classical at late times, while the NBWF also reveals regimes with bounces or initial singularities, and a nuanced dependence of inflation on model parameters — notably the parameter $\mu = (3/\Lambda)^{1/2} m$. Volume weighting pushes probabilities toward histories with many e-foldings, potentially aligning with our observation of a long inflationary epoch, and the framework offers a route to connecting the quantum state to late-time observables, including the thermodynamic arrow of time and the fate of the universe. Overall, the NBWF provides a concrete, predictive link between quantum initial conditions and the emergence of a classical, inflationary cosmos within the studied minisuperspace setting.
Abstract
We analyze the origin of the quasiclassical realm from the no-boundary proposal for the universe's quantum state in a class of minisuperspace models. The models assume homogeneous, isotropic, closed spacetime geometries, a single scalar field moving in a quadratic potential, and a fundamental cosmological constant. The allowed classical histories and their probabilities are calculated to leading semiclassical order. We find that for the most realistic range of parameters analyzed a minimum amount of scalar field is required, if there is any at all, in order for the universe to behave classically at late times. If the classical late time histories are extended back, they may be singular or bounce at a finite radius. The ensemble of classical histories is time symmetric although individual histories are generally not. The no-boundary proposal selects inflationary histories, but the measure on the classical solutions it provides is heavily biased towards small amounts of inflation. However, the probability for a large number of efoldings is enhanced by the volume factor needed to obtain the probability for what we observe in our past light cone, given our present age. Our results emphasize that it is the quantum state of the universe that determines whether or not it exhibits a quasiclassical realm and what histories are possible or probable within that realm.
